SUBT vs VESTA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SUBT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
VIC
1 - 1
SUB
47%
25%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2013 |
SUB
0 - 1
COL
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
SUB
0 - 0
SVV
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 2
SUB
56%
22%
22%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
SUB
0 - 3
HOL
53%
23%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
VESTA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
COL
3 - 2
SVV
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
SVV
1 - 2
UND
47%
25%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
SUB
0 - 0
SVV
54%
23%
23%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
SVV
0 - 2
DOM
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
SIT
2 - 2
SVV
52%
24%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |