SUBT vs VESTA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
30.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SUBT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2009 |
DOM
1 - 0
SUB
61%
21%
18%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
HUB
1 - 0
SUB
55%
23%
22%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
SUB
0 - 3
HOL
45%
25%
31%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2009 |
SUB
0 - 3
BAR
49%
25%
27%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
UND
2 - 0
SUB
51%
24%
26%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
VESTA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2009 |
VIC
0 - 0
SVV
48%
25%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
CHM
1 - 1
SVV
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
SVV
3 - 1
COL
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
RBV
1 - 1
SVV
44%
25%
32%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
SIT
1 - 2
SVV
51%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |