SUBT vs VESTA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
39.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SUBT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
SUB
1 - 1
VIC
33%
25%
42%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
SIT
1 - 2
SUB
67%
19%
14%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
HUB
2 - 2
SUB
69%
19%
13%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2008 |
SUB
0 - 4
BAR
31%
26%
43%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
SUB
0 - 3
DOM
32%
25%
43%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
VESTA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2008 |
SVV
0 - 1
HUB
50%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2008 |
VIC
0 - 0
SVV
50%
24%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2008 |
DOM
3 - 1
SVV
55%
23%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
SVV
1 - 0
HOL
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2008 |
SIT
0 - 2
SVV
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |