SUBT vs UNDEBA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
22.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SUBT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2022 |
SUB
3 - 2
INW
36%
24%
39%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
SIT
3 - 0
SUB
63%
19%
17%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2022 |
SUB
0 - 0
BAR
38%
24%
38%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
SCH
0 - 0
SUB
55%
23%
21%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
SUB
0 - 0
SIT
32%
22%
46%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
UNDEBA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
UND
0 - 0
COL
30%
23%
48%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 1
UND
69%
17%
14%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
UND
1 - 1
SIT
26%
22%
53%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2022 |
HOL
4 - 1
UND
66%
20%
15%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
UND
2 - 5
SIT
27%
22%
51%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |