SUBT vs UNDEBA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
38.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SUBT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
HOL
1 - 1
SUB
68%
19%
13%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
SUB
0 - 1
SCH
34%
25%
40%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
DOM
1 - 3
SUB
75%
15%
10%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2021 |
UND
2 - 0
SUB
67%
18%
15%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
SCH
1 - 0
SUB
67%
19%
14%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
UNDEBA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
UND
0 - 2
BAR
45%
23%
33%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
DOM
2 - 1
UND
55%
21%
25%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
HOL
1 - 0
UND
52%
22%
26%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2021 |
UND
2 - 0
SUB
67%
18%
15%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
VIC
1 - 3
UND
56%
22%
23%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +2 |