SUBT vs UNDEBA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
37.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SUBT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
SUB
0 - 1
SCH
53%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 0
SUB
60%
20%
20%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
DOM
2 - 0
SUB
60%
20%
20%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SUB
1 - 2
SVV
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
SUB
1 - 0
VIC
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
UNDEBA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
SVV
4 - 0
UND
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
HOL
0 - 2
UND
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
VIC
0 - 0
UND
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
UND
1 - 1
HUB
49%
23%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
UND
0 - 6
HOL
55%
22%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |