SUBT vs UNDEBA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
31.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SUBT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
SUB
0 - 3
DOM
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SUB
1 - 2
HOL
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
SUB
1 - 1
SCH
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2015 |
SUB
1 - 2
COL
52%
23%
26%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SUB
5 - 0
SIT
44%
24%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
UNDEBA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2015 |
UND
3 - 2
SIT
47%
24%
30%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
UND
1 - 3
VIC
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
UND
1 - 2
DOM
46%
24%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
UND
1 - 1
SCH
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
UND
3 - 0
COL
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |