SUBT vs UNDEBA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
30.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SUBT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
SUB
3 - 0
COL
51%
23%
27%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
SUB
5 - 1
SIT
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
SUB
2 - 0
SVV
52%
24%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
VIC
1 - 1
SUB
47%
25%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2013 |
SUB
0 - 1
COL
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
UNDEBA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2014 |
VIC
1 - 3
UND
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
HUB
1 - 3
UND
47%
23%
30%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
DOM
3 - 2
UND
56%
22%
22%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
VIC
3 - 2
UND
48%
24%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
DOM
6 - 1
UND
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |