SUBT vs UNDEBA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
28.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SUBT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
RBV
3 - 1
SUB
48%
25%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2010 |
SUB
2 - 1
COL
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2010 |
SUB
2 - 1
VIC
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2010 |
BAR
3 - 0
SUB
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2009 |
HOL
0 - 0
SUB
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
UNDEBA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2010 |
UND
1 - 2
DOM
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
VIC
0 - 3
UND
44%
25%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
UND
0 - 0
BAR
47%
25%
28%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +3 |
| 11 Jan. 2010 |
HUB
5 - 0
UND
53%
23%
24%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
COL
3 - 1
UND
52%
23%
25%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |