SUBT vs UNDEBA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
47.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SUBT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2007 |
SUB
0 - 2
SIT
29%
25%
47%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
BAR
3 - 0
SUB
72%
17%
11%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2007 |
SUB
3 - 0
COL
59%
21%
20%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
UNDEBA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
UND
6 - 1
COL
76%
15%
9%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2007 |
HUB
1 - 0
UND
52%
23%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2007 |
UND
0 - 1
SVV
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2006 |
WAT
1 - 1
UND
84%
11%
5%
|
39 | 71 | 32 | -7 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
BAL
4 - 0
UND
74%
16%
10%
|
39 | 63 | 24 | 0 |