SUBT vs Victory Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
42.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SUBT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
DOM
2 - 1
SUB
74%
16%
11%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
COL
0 - 1
SUB
74%
16%
10%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SUB
0 - 2
SCH
29%
25%
46%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
TKS
4 - 2
SUB
11%
17%
72%
|
25 | 9 | 16 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SUB
1 - 2
HOL
29%
23%
48%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Victory Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
UND
0 - 3
VIC
41%
24%
35%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
VIC
1 - 0
BAR
40%
23%
36%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
HOL
2 - 2
VIC
63%
20%
17%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
VIC
0 - 2
DOM
42%
23%
35%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
VIC
1 - 2
INW
33%
23%
43%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |