SUBT vs Victory Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SUBT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
HUB
0 - 1
SUB
55%
23%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2015 |
SUB
1 - 1
UND
45%
24%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
SUB
0 - 3
DOM
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SUB
1 - 2
HOL
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
SUB
1 - 1
SCH
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Victory Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2015 |
SIT
3 - 1
VIC
45%
25%
30%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 1
VIC
56%
22%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
HUB
0 - 2
VIC
54%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
UND
1 - 3
VIC
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
VIC
4 - 0
COL
44%
24%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |