SUBT vs Victory Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
29.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SUBT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
SUB
4 - 1
BAR
52%
24%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SIT
4 - 0
SUB
51%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
SUB
1 - 1
HOL
59%
22%
20%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2012 |
SUB
2 - 2
UND
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VIC
2 - 1
SUB
48%
24%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Victory Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
SIT
2 - 2
VIC
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 2
VIC
52%
23%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
UND
3 - 2
VIC
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
SVV
3 - 2
VIC
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VIC
2 - 1
SUB
48%
24%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |