SUBT vs Scherpenheuvel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
28.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SUBT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2015 |
SUB
1 - 2
COL
52%
23%
26%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SUB
5 - 0
SIT
44%
24%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2014 |
SUB
1 - 4
HOL
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
UND
1 - 0
SUB
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
VIC
2 - 1
SUB
52%
24%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Scherpenheuvel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
UND
1 - 1
SCH
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 3
SCH
55%
21%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |