SUBT vs Real Buena Vista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
27.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SUBT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2010 |
UND
1 - 3
SUB
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
SUB
0 - 3
BAR
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2010 |
HUB
3 - 1
SUB
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2010 |
SUB
0 - 1
SVV
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2010 |
SUB
1 - 0
HOL
48%
24%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Real Buena Vista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2010 |
RBV
2 - 4
SIT
46%
24%
30%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
RBV
0 - 6
DOM
43%
24%
33%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2010 |
HOL
6 - 2
RBV
51%
23%
25%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2010 |
RBV
0 - 9
BAR
50%
25%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
SVV
2 - 0
RBV
50%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |