SUBT vs Jong Holland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SUBT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
HUB
2 - 2
SUB
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SUB
2 - 2
SCH
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
SUB
2 - 1
COL
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2015 |
HUB
1 - 0
SUB
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
SCH
1 - 1
SUB
52%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Jong Holland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
HOL
1 - 1
DOM
42%
25%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2016 |
HUB
0 - 0
HOL
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
HOL
1 - 1
DOM
41%
25%
34%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
VIC
2 - 1
HOL
50%
24%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
HUB
3 - 0
HOL
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |