SUBT vs Jong Holland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SUBT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
SUB
1 - 1
SCH
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2015 |
SUB
1 - 2
COL
52%
23%
26%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SUB
5 - 0
SIT
44%
24%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2014 |
SUB
1 - 4
HOL
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
UND
1 - 0
SUB
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Jong Holland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
HUB
0 - 1
HOL
56%
22%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 1
HOL
56%
22%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2015 |
VIC
0 - 0
HOL
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 0
HOL
56%
22%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
HOL
2 - 1
UND
40%
26%
34%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |