SUBT vs Jong Holland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
25.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SUBT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
SUB
1 - 1
UND
47%
24%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
COL
1 - 0
SUB
46%
24%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
SUB
0 - 3
HUB
48%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SUB
2 - 1
SIT
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2011 |
VIC
2 - 1
SUB
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Jong Holland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2011 |
COL
3 - 2
HOL
49%
25%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2011 |
HOL
3 - 1
HUB
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
SIT
0 - 1
HOL
53%
23%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
VIC
0 - 0
HOL
49%
25%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
HOL
1 - 0
BAR
55%
23%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |