SUBT vs Jong Holland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
30.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+92%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SUBT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2009 |
SUB
0 - 3
BAR
49%
25%
27%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
UND
2 - 0
SUB
51%
24%
26%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
SUB
0 - 4
UND
45%
24%
31%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
SUB
0 - 8
HUB
46%
24%
30%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
HOL
0 - 1
SUB
57%
22%
21%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Jong Holland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2009 |
HOL
2 - 0
VIC
52%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
CHM
0 - 3
HOL
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
HOL
4 - 0
CHM
50%
23%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
UND
2 - 1
HOL
47%
25%
28%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
HOL
0 - 1
SUB
57%
22%
21%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |