SUBT vs Jong Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
21%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SUBT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
SCH
3 - 0
SUB
70%
20%
10%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
DOM
3 - 2
SUB
80%
13%
7%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 1
SUB
78%
14%
9%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2018 |
SUB
1 - 2
VIC
31%
24%
46%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
HOL
0 - 0
SUB
72%
18%
9%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
Jong Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2018 |
COL
1 - 4
DOM
16%
20%
64%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
VIC
0 - 0
COL
70%
17%
12%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
COL
1 - 5
INW
27%
22%
51%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -2 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
UND
4 - 1
COL
64%
19%
18%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2018 |
COL
1 - 2
SCH
30%
24%
46%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |