Subiza vs Mutilvera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
63.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Subiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
BET
2 - 0
SUB
35%
25%
41%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2017 |
SUB
2 - 3
VAL
70%
16%
14%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
CDB
2 - 1
SUB
35%
23%
42%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
CHA
3 - 2
SUB
41%
24%
35%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
SUB
1 - 2
OBE
67%
18%
16%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
UDM
1 - 0
SJU
68%
20%
12%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
CDI
0 - 2
UDM
12%
17%
71%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
UDM
0 - 1
ATL
72%
19%
10%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
UDM
2 - 1
CDP
45%
27%
28%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
RAC
4 - 0
UDM
72%
19%
9%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | 0 |