Subiza vs Mutilvera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
47.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Subiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
SUB
1 - 0
LAG
74%
16%
10%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
LAG
1 - 1
SUB
28%
25%
47%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
SUB
2 - 1
CAV
67%
18%
15%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
CDO
2 - 1
SUB
31%
24%
45%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
GAZ
1 - 5
SUB
13%
21%
66%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
UDM
1 - 0
SJU
57%
24%
19%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
IDO
1 - 1
UDM
13%
21%
66%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
UDM
4 - 0
MUR
69%
19%
12%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 1
UDM
18%
22%
60%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
UDM
1 - 0
CHA
59%
23%
18%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |