Subiza vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability

1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
41.7%
Win probability

1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →

+35%
-12%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
15º
18º
17º
43
9º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table | Final expectations | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
![]() |
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
![]() |
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
![]() |
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
![]() |
4º
|
61 | 61 |
4º
|
100% | |
![]() |
5º
|
60 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
![]() |
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
![]() |
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
![]() |
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
![]() |
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
![]() |
11º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
0% | |
![]() |
12º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
![]() |
10º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
0% | |
![]() |
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
100% | |
![]() |
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
![]() |
15º
|
38 | 38 |
15º
|
100% | |
![]() |
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
![]() |
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
![]() |
18º
|
21 | 21 |
18º
|
100% |
Expected probabilities | ||
---|---|---|
![]() |
![]() |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression


Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Subiza

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 Apr. 2025 |
UDL
![]() 3 - 0
![]() SUB
73%
19%
8%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
13 Apr. 2025 |
SUB
![]() 0 - 2
![]() ALA
30%
25%
44%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
06 Apr. 2025 |
ZAR
![]() 2 - 1
![]() SUB
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
29 Mar. 2025 |
SUB
![]() 3 - 0
![]() ALF
26%
24%
50%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +4 |
22 Mar. 2025 |
RSO
![]() 2 - 1
![]() SUB
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
SD Gernika

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 Apr. 2025 |
GER
![]() 2 - 1
![]() BAR
37%
28%
35%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
13 Apr. 2025 |
ANG
![]() 0 - 0
![]() GER
31%
25%
45%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
06 Apr. 2025 |
GER
![]() 0 - 3
![]() ARE
29%
28%
44%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
30 Mar. 2025 |
SDL
![]() 3 - 1
![]() GER
61%
23%
16%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
23 Mar. 2025 |
GER
![]() 1 - 0
![]() CLH
44%
26%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |