Subiza vs SD Gernika analysis

Subiza SD Gernika
44 ELO 50
10.9% Tilt -11.4%
6728º General ELO ranking 5009º
286º Country ELO ranking 173º
ELO win probability
33.7%
Subiza
24.6%
Draw
41.6%
SD Gernika

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
Subiza
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
41.7%
Win probability
SD Gernika
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Subiza
+35%
-12%
SD Gernika

Points and table prediction

Subiza
Their league position
SD Gernika
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
15º
18º
17º
43
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Arenas de Getxo
70
70
100%
SD Logroñés
66
66
100%
Eibar B
62
62
100%
Utebo
61
61
100%
CD Teruel
60
60
100%
UD Logroñés
55
55
100%
Ejea
51
51
100%
Deportivo Alavés B
49
49
100%
Deportivo Aragón
44
44
100%
Tudelano
11º
43
43
10º
0%
SD Gernika
12º
43
43
11º
100%
CD Alfaro
10º
43
43
12º
0%
Barbastro
13º
40
40
13º
100%
CD Calahorra
14º
39
39
14º
100%
Anguiano
15º
38
38
15º
100%
Real Sociedad C
16º
29
29
16º
100%
Subiza
17º
28
28
17º
100%
Izarra
18º
21
21
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Subiza
SD Gernika
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Subiza
SD Gernika
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Subiza
Subiza
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Apr. 2025
UDL
UD Logroñés
3 - 0
Subiza
SUB
73%
19%
8%
44 65 21 0
13 Apr. 2025
SUB
Subiza
0 - 2
Deportivo Alavés B
ALA
30%
25%
44%
45 54 9 -1
06 Apr. 2025
ZAR
Deportivo Aragón
2 - 1
Subiza
SUB
62%
21%
17%
45 50 5 0
29 Mar. 2025
SUB
Subiza
3 - 0
CD Alfaro
ALF
26%
24%
50%
41 51 10 +4
22 Mar. 2025
RSO
Real Sociedad C
2 - 1
Subiza
SUB
60%
22%
18%
41 47 6 0

Matches

SD Gernika
SD Gernika
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Apr. 2025
GER
SD Gernika
2 - 1
Barbastro
BAR
37%
28%
35%
49 53 4 0
13 Apr. 2025
ANG
Anguiano
0 - 0
SD Gernika
GER
31%
25%
45%
49 42 7 0
06 Apr. 2025
GER
SD Gernika
0 - 3
Arenas de Getxo
ARE
29%
28%
44%
50 58 8 -1
30 Mar. 2025
SDL
SD Logroñés
3 - 1
SD Gernika
GER
61%
23%
16%
50 60 10 0
23 Mar. 2025
GER
SD Gernika
1 - 0
CD Calahorra
CLH
44%
26%
30%
49 50 1 +1