Subingen vs Nordstern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
71.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Subingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
FCH
1 - 0
SUB
72%
17%
11%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
SUB
2 - 3
FCB
45%
24%
31%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2008 |
SUB
2 - 2
SEE
16%
22%
63%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
MOU
2 - 1
SUB
78%
14%
8%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
SUB
3 - 2
BIN
20%
23%
58%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Nordstern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
NOB
3 - 1
LIE
81%
13%
6%
|
56 | 28 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
LAU
6 - 2
NOB
15%
22%
63%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
NOB
1 - 2
POR
83%
13%
5%
|
57 | 22 | 35 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
NOB
0 - 4
DOR
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
NOB
2 - 0
FCB
83%
12%
5%
|
58 | 18 | 40 | 0 |