Subingen vs Oerlikon / Polizei analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
60.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Subingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SUB
2 - 3
DIE
19%
22%
59%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
FCW
6 - 0
SUB
84%
12%
5%
|
16 | 41 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
SUB
1 - 1
SCH
16%
21%
62%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
FCE
1 - 1
SUB
37%
24%
39%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
SUB
0 - 2
SEE
16%
20%
64%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | -2 |
Matches
Oerlikon / Polizei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
RSZ
0 - 1
FCO
74%
16%
10%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
FCO
1 - 1
KUS
37%
23%
41%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
LAN
3 - 0
FCO
75%
15%
10%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
FCO
1 - 2
FCT
39%
24%
37%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
FCO
2 - 2
FCW
13%
19%
67%
|
28 | 57 | 29 | +1 |