Subingen vs Aarau II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
72.2%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Subingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
SCH
3 - 1
SUB
78%
14%
8%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
SUB
1 - 5
HON
14%
19%
67%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
OLT
1 - 0
SUB
69%
19%
13%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
SUB
1 - 0
DIE
13%
18%
70%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
SUB
0 - 2
PAJ
19%
20%
62%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
AAR
2 - 2
PAJ
70%
16%
15%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
WOH
2 - 5
AAR
19%
20%
61%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
AAR
6 - 1
LIE
77%
14%
10%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
BST
1 - 3
AAR
19%
18%
62%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
AAR
4 - 2
ROT
86%
9%
5%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |