Subingen vs Aarau II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
72.5%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
15.1%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.1%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Subingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 1
SUB
23%
22%
55%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
SUB
0 - 4
UZU
18%
21%
61%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
SEE
4 - 2
SUB
80%
13%
7%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
SUB
0 - 3
FCT
18%
22%
61%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
AAR
4 - 2
SUB
84%
10%
5%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
UZU
2 - 2
AAR
71%
16%
14%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
AAR
1 - 5
HON
44%
23%
33%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
SEE
3 - 1
AAR
41%
23%
36%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
AAR
0 - 3
RSZ
42%
24%
34%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
AAR
1 - 3
MUT
81%
12%
7%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | -1 |