Esuatini U20 vs Botsuana U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
36.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esuatini U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
NAM
2 - 0
SWZ
52%
24%
25%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SWZ
2 - 2
NAM
36%
25%
40%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Botsuana U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
BOT
0 - 2
ZIM
43%
25%
33%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ZIM
0 - 1
BOT
49%
24%
27%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
RSA
4 - 0
BOT
74%
16%
10%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2011 |
BOT
0 - 0
MOZ
27%
24%
49%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |