Swaziland vs Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
54.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.6%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swaziland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
SWZ
1 - 1
MWI
16%
23%
61%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
SWZ
0 - 0
BOT
19%
26%
55%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
SDN
3 - 0
SWZ
72%
17%
11%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
SWZ
0 - 4
ZAM
13%
22%
66%
|
49 | 78 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
BOT
2 - 0
SWZ
61%
23%
16%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
ETH
1 - 2
SDN
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
SDN
3 - 0
SWZ
72%
17%
11%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2011 |
ALG
0 - 1
SDN
72%
19%
10%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2011 |
SDN
1 - 1
ANG
36%
26%
38%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2011 |
SDN
1 - 1
NIG
61%
21%
18%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |