Swaziland vs Mozambique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
43.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swaziland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
SWZ
1 - 2
MOZ
35%
25%
40%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
SWZ
1 - 0
LSO
51%
24%
26%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
BOT
6 - 2
SWZ
39%
25%
36%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2001 |
ZIM
2 - 1
SWZ
80%
14%
7%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2001 |
MWI
2 - 2
SWZ
53%
25%
23%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
SWZ
1 - 2
MOZ
35%
25%
40%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
MOZ
0 - 3
RSA
11%
22%
68%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2001 |
MOZ
1 - 0
LSO
59%
21%
20%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
BOT
1 - 3
MOZ
43%
24%
34%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2001 |
LSO
2 - 4
MOZ
41%
24%
35%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |