Swaziland vs Comoros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
8.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swaziland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
BOT
1 - 0
SWZ
59%
24%
18%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
SWZ
2 - 1
SYC
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
NAM
1 - 1
SWZ
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
MOZ
1 - 0
SWZ
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2009 |
MWI
3 - 1
SWZ
63%
21%
16%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Comoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
SYC
1 - 2
COM
79%
14%
7%
|
9 | 47 | 38 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
COM
0 - 0
BOT
17%
23%
61%
|
9 | 65 | 56 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2008 |
COM
0 - 1
LSO
15%
22%
64%
|
9 | 53 | 44 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2008 |
COM
0 - 1
MWI
15%
20%
65%
|
9 | 65 | 56 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
COM
0 - 3
NAM
14%
21%
65%
|
9 | 57 | 48 | 0 |