Swaziland vs Namibia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
42%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swaziland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
SWZ
1 - 1
MOZ
32%
25%
43%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
SWZ
1 - 2
MOZ
35%
25%
40%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
SWZ
1 - 0
LSO
51%
24%
26%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
BOT
6 - 2
SWZ
39%
25%
36%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2001 |
ZIM
2 - 1
SWZ
80%
14%
7%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
BOT
3 - 1
NAM
37%
25%
38%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
BOT
3 - 2
NAM
28%
25%
48%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
MUS
1 - 0
NAM
31%
24%
46%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2001 |
SEN
4 - 0
NAM
66%
21%
14%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2001 |
SWZ
2 - 1
NAM
29%
26%
45%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |