Swaziland vs Mauritius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swaziland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2002 |
SWZ
0 - 1
MUS
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
ZIM
0 - 2
SWZ
80%
13%
7%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
SWZ
2 - 1
NAM
33%
26%
42%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
SWZ
1 - 1
MOZ
32%
25%
43%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
SWZ
1 - 2
MOZ
35%
25%
40%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mauritius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2002 |
SWZ
0 - 1
MUS
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
MUS
2 - 3
MAD
36%
25%
39%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
ANG
1 - 0
MUS
78%
15%
7%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
MUS
1 - 0
NAM
31%
24%
46%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2000 |
MAD
1 - 0
MUS
70%
17%
13%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |