Swaziland vs Malawi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
60.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swaziland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2011 |
SWZ
0 - 0
BOT
19%
26%
55%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
SDN
3 - 0
SWZ
72%
17%
11%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
SWZ
0 - 4
ZAM
13%
22%
66%
|
49 | 78 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
BOT
2 - 0
SWZ
61%
23%
16%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
CGO
3 - 1
SWZ
62%
23%
16%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
MWI
1 - 0
TOG
49%
24%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
NAM
1 - 2
MWI
36%
26%
39%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
MWI
1 - 1
ETH
48%
25%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2010 |
MWI
1 - 1
UGA
33%
26%
42%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2010 |
MWI
3 - 2
KEN
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |