Swaziland vs Botswana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
54.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.5%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swaziland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
SDN
3 - 0
SWZ
72%
17%
11%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
SWZ
0 - 4
ZAM
13%
22%
66%
|
49 | 78 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
BOT
2 - 0
SWZ
61%
23%
16%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
CGO
3 - 1
SWZ
62%
23%
16%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
SWZ
0 - 3
GHA
11%
21%
68%
|
49 | 84 | 35 | +1 |
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 1
BOT
67%
22%
11%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
CHA
0 - 1
BOT
20%
24%
57%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
BOT
1 - 1
NAM
52%
26%
23%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
MOZ
1 - 1
BOT
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
BOT
1 - 2
SWE
12%
25%
62%
|
70 | 92 | 22 | 0 |