Swaziland vs Botswana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
51.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swaziland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
SWZ
0 - 3
MWI
24%
24%
51%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
SWZ
0 - 0
ERI
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 29 | 25 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
ANG
3 - 0
SWZ
78%
16%
7%
|
54 | 79 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
SWZ
0 - 0
KEN
24%
25%
52%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
SWZ
1 - 0
MWI
22%
23%
55%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2008 |
RSA
2 - 1
BOT
67%
21%
12%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
EGY
1 - 0
BOT
84%
12%
5%
|
66 | 89 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
RSA
1 - 0
BOT
64%
22%
14%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2007 |
BOT
3 - 1
ANG
24%
26%
51%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | +2 |
| 28 Jul. 2007 |
BOT
1 - 0
NAM
50%
24%
27%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |