Swaziland vs Botswana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
30.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swaziland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2003 |
COD
2 - 0
SWZ
78%
15%
7%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
LSO
2 - 1
SWZ
34%
24%
42%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
SWZ
1 - 1
COD
15%
23%
63%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2003 |
SWZ
1 - 0
LSO
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
SWZ
2 - 1
LBY
18%
24%
58%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2003 |
BOT
0 - 0
TTO
14%
22%
64%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
BOT
0 - 1
LBY
22%
23%
55%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
BOT
1 - 3
MWI
28%
24%
48%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2003 |
LSO
1 - 2
BOT
43%
25%
32%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
LBY
0 - 0
BOT
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |