Sua Flamingoes vs Botswana Defence Force XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
19.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sua Flamingoes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
EXT
0 - 4
SUA
46%
24%
30%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2021 |
MOW
1 - 2
SUA
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
SUA
0 - 0
TOW
50%
23%
27%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
GAL
0 - 0
SUA
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
SUA
2 - 3
ORA
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Botswana Defence Force XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 2
POL
43%
27%
30%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2021 |
GAL
0 - 1
BOT
51%
25%
24%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
BOT
0 - 1
MOW
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
BOT
0 - 2
MAS
44%
26%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
NOT
1 - 2
BOT
34%
27%
39%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |