Dives vs Le Puy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.4%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.5%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
74.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dives
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
CHA
3 - 0
DIV
37%
23%
41%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
DIV
2 - 0
SDF
50%
23%
28%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
DIV
2 - 3
OIS
52%
23%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
ESA
3 - 2
DIV
52%
23%
26%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
DIV
6 - 1
DRA
43%
22%
36%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Le Puy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
IST
1 - 4
LPV
15%
25%
60%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
LPV
4 - 0
MPL
15%
20%
65%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | +3 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
FRE
1 - 1
LPV
23%
29%
48%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
LPV
0 - 1
ANG
69%
21%
11%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
AGD
1 - 5
LPV
10%
20%
71%
|
64 | 37 | 27 | 0 |