Dives vs Caen PTT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
30.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
12º
6º
35
3º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dives
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SAI
1 - 2
DIV
31%
23%
46%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
QUE
0 - 1
DIV
47%
22%
31%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
DIV
2 - 1
QUE
46%
23%
30%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
MGA
0 - 2
DIV
29%
21%
50%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
DIV
1 - 3
AFV
19%
19%
62%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Caen PTT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
CAE
1 - 1
CAE
18%
19%
63%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ALE
2 - 1
CAE
52%
21%
27%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
CHE
1 - 2
CAE
65%
18%
17%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
CAE
1 - 1
AVR
51%
21%
28%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
CAE
2 - 3
EVR
23%
22%
55%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |