Dives vs Caen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
62.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
12º
6º
39
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dives
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
VHO
1 - 0
DIV
44%
22%
35%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
DIV
2 - 2
LEH
40%
24%
36%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ALE
1 - 1
DIV
63%
20%
17%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
DIV
0 - 3
CHA
57%
20%
24%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
AGC
2 - 0
DIV
45%
22%
34%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
CAE
2 - 2
QUE
79%
13%
7%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
CAE
3 - 4
ALE
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 0
CAE
17%
18%
65%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
CAE
5 - 0
AGC
75%
14%
10%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
OIS
0 - 1
CAE
20%
21%
59%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |