Dives vs Bastia II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
57.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dives
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
LIM
1 - 1
DIV
66%
17%
16%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
GRA
2 - 0
DIV
63%
21%
16%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
BAS
1 - 1
DIV
62%
21%
17%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
DIV
1 - 6
MAR
38%
25%
37%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
PAR
5 - 1
DIV
45%
24%
32%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Bastia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
BAS
2 - 2
BOR
44%
22%
34%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
COU
0 - 1
BAS
22%
23%
55%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
BAS
2 - 1
CHA
60%
20%
20%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
CSL
3 - 1
BAS
36%
24%
41%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
BAS
4 - 2
SAE
48%
25%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |