Dives vs AG Caennaise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
40.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-67%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
9º
13º
10º
40
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
34% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
66% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
66% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dives
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
OIS
1 - 2
DIV
68%
19%
13%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
DIV
2 - 0
GON
59%
21%
20%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CHE
1 - 0
DIV
51%
22%
27%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
GRQ
1 - 2
DIV
31%
21%
49%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
DIV
0 - 1
SAI
48%
22%
30%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
AG Caennaise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
AGC
4 - 3
LEH
51%
22%
27%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
OIS
2 - 1
AGC
61%
20%
19%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
QUE
2 - 1
AGC
31%
22%
47%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
GON
1 - 3
AGC
27%
22%
51%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
AGC
2 - 1
MGA
81%
12%
7%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |