Europa League Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Stuttgart vs Dynamo Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
36.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stuttgart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1989 |
STU
2 - 2
KFC
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1989 |
STU
4 - 0
KAI
67%
18%
15%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1989 |
KOL
3 - 0
STU
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1989 |
STU
2 - 1
STP
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1989 |
RSO
1 - 0
STU
53%
24%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1989 |
SGD
3 - 0
LOK
62%
22%
16%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1989 |
BSV
2 - 2
SGD
18%
25%
57%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1989 |
CHE
2 - 1
SGD
21%
25%
54%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1989 |
SGD
4 - 0
VIC
78%
15%
7%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1989 |
SGD
4 - 1
ZWI
82%
12%
5%
|
89 | 65 | 24 | 0 |