Q. Europa League 3rd Round Final
Global 5-4
Stuttgart vs Molde FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stuttgart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2010 |
MFK
2 - 3
STU
32%
25%
43%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2010 |
YOB
1 - 2
STU
43%
25%
32%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2010 |
STU
2 - 1
TWE
49%
26%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2010 |
SVS
1 - 1
STU
3%
11%
86%
|
87 | 11 | 76 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
HOF
1 - 1
STU
29%
25%
46%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Molde FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
BBS
1 - 1
MFK
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2010 |
MFK
2 - 3
STU
32%
25%
43%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
MFK
1 - 2
IKS
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2010 |
FKJ
2 - 1
MFK
26%
23%
52%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
MFK
0 - 0
SDF
71%
18%
11%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |