Stuttgart vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
36.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stuttgart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
BVB
2 - 1
STU
71%
17%
12%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
STU
1 - 0
ZUR
44%
24%
32%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
STU
0 - 1
ARB
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
AUG
4 - 1
STU
30%
24%
46%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
STU
0 - 2
KOL
45%
24%
31%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
M05
1 - 1
KOL
42%
25%
33%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
M05
1 - 1
MON
23%
23%
54%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
ARB
1 - 2
M05
25%
25%
50%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
M05
3 - 2
ARB
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
M05
4 - 1
AUG
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |