Stuttgart vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
34.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stuttgart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
FSV
0 - 0
STU
38%
25%
38%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
STU
2 - 0
WAL
66%
18%
17%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 1949 |
SSV
1 - 2
STU
9%
17%
74%
|
84 | 54 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1949 |
AUG
4 - 2
STU
43%
24%
34%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1949 |
FSV
2 - 0
STU
39%
25%
36%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
VFM
2 - 1
FCN
26%
22%
52%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1949 |
EIN
2 - 2
FCN
32%
24%
44%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 1949 |
FCN
3 - 3
AUG
76%
14%
10%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1949 |
EIN
0 - 0
FCN
30%
24%
46%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1949 |
FCR
4 - 1
FCN
25%
21%
54%
|
93 | 74 | 19 | -1 |