Europa League Knock-out stages 1/32
Global 4-3
Stuttgart vs Cherno More Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
15.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stuttgart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
BVB
3 - 0
STU
34%
26%
40%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
STU
2 - 0
ARB
64%
21%
15%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
STU
3 - 1
KSC
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2008 |
CVA
1 - 2
STU
27%
26%
47%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
HOF
0 - 0
STU
23%
23%
54%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2008 |
CVA
1 - 0
LSO
41%
28%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
LPL
1 - 0
CVA
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2008 |
CVA
1 - 2
STU
27%
26%
47%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2008 |
LSO
3 - 0
CVA
60%
21%
19%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
CVA
0 - 1
CHB
47%
27%
27%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |