Q. Europa League 3rd Round Final
Global 1-1
Stuttgart vs Botev Plovdiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
13.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stuttgart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
BFC
0 - 2
STU
7%
15%
78%
|
85 | 43 | 42 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 1
STU
32%
24%
44%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
STU
1 - 0
VCF
32%
26%
42%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
BYM
3 - 2
STU
85%
11%
4%
|
85 | 96 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
STU
2 - 2
M05
52%
24%
24%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Botev Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
LOV
0 - 0
BOT
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 1
STU
32%
24%
44%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
BOT
7 - 1
PIR
77%
16%
8%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
BOT
2 - 0
ZRI
61%
21%
19%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
BOT
2 - 1
LSO
45%
25%
31%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |