Stuttgart vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stuttgart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
M05
3 - 1
STU
31%
25%
44%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
STU
3 - 1
S04
36%
25%
40%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2012 |
STU
0 - 1
MFK
58%
22%
21%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
SGF
0 - 1
STU
24%
23%
53%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
STU
2 - 1
AUG
69%
19%
12%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2012 |
SVS
0 - 0
KOL
22%
25%
54%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2012 |
KOL
2 - 2
EBT
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
KOL
1 - 0
ING
61%
22%
16%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2012 |
HER
1 - 1
KOL
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2012 |
KOL
3 - 1
BOC
60%
23%
18%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |